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HIROSHIMA BOMB
What was the yield of the Hiroshima bomb?
[On the moderated World War II newsgroup, the question was asked: "I
have noticed in my readings that there is a very large
variation in the stated yield of the Hiroshima bomb. Here
are the most common that I have seen: 10.4 KT, 12 KT, 12.5 KT (often quoted),
13.5 KT, 15 KT (some online DBs), 20 KT, and More than 20 KT (some news
accounts)." This was the answer that came back, from the invaluable
contributer Carey Sublette. -- Dan Ford]
The most authoritative report on this is the Los Alamos National
Laboratory report number LA-8819, The yields of the Hiroshima
and Nagasaki nuclear explosions. Author: Malik, J. S."
Here are the abstract and introduction to John Malik's report:
ABSTRACT
A deterministic estimate of the nuclear
radiation fields from the Hiroshima and Nagasaki
nuclear weapon explosions requires the yields of
these explosions. The yield of the Nagasaki
explosion is rather well established by both
fireball and radiochemical data from other tests
as 21 kt [one kiloton equals the explosive power of 1,000 tons
of TNT]. There are no equivalent data for the
Hiroshima explosion. Equating thermal radiation
and blast effects observed at the two cities
subsequent to the explosions gives a yield of
about 15 kt [at Hiroshima]. The pressure-vs-time data, obtained
by dropped, parachute-retarded canisters
and reevaluated using 2-D hydrodynamic
calculations, give a yield between 16 and 17 kt.
Scaling the gamma-ray dose data and calculations
gives a yield of about 15 kt. Sulfur neutron
activation data give a yield of about 15 kt.
The current best estimates for the yield of
these explosions are the following:
Hiroshima 15 kt
Nagasaki 21 kt
The outside limits of uncertainties in these
values are believed to be 20 percent for
Hiroshima and 10 percent for Nagasaki. [In other words, the Hiroshima
bomb has an outside range of 12-18 KT, and the Nagasaki bomb an
outside range of 18.9-23.1 KT.]
I. INTRODUCTION
The Manhattan Project culminated in the design and fabrication of two
types of nuclear weapons--Little Boy and Fat Man. The first type was
exploded
over Hiroshima, the second over Nagasaki. Estimates of radiation
exposures
depend in part on explosive yields, and much of the evaluation of
radiation
effects upon man depends on data from the Hiroshima and Nagasaki explosions.
The yield of the Fat Man has been determined rather well, being given
variously from 19-24 kt. (Present official yield is 23 kt.1)
Estimates for the Little Boy have ranged from 6-23 kt. (The current official
yield is 13 kt.1) The data from which estimates may be made are fragmentary,
and the parameters needed for evaluation have been either missing,
inconsistent, or erroneous. Part of the problem arises from President Truman's edict
that the yields of both explosions were 20 000 tons of TNT; another part of the
problem arises from the inadequate and faulty documentation of the combat
missions by the Army Air Corps 509th Composite Group and the US Air Force
historians. Many well-researched books ... are useful in
resolving inconsistencies. There is also documentation by the US
Strategic the Bombing Survey (USSBS), Manhattan Engineering District,
and the Japanese. These sources are not particularly useful for yield
evaluation; however, they contain clues.
http://www.warbirdforum.com/hiroshim.htm
Penulis : Drs.Simon Arnold Julian Jacob
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